Stages of Global Economic Hegemony (7): Collapse of Borders
Mohammad Kawrani — 2026.09.19
In previous articles, we saw how populations are managed through sanctions and the media, how resources are looted under the guise of development and the IMF, and how elites clash over a rescue map they do not own. But the most terrifying question has not been asked yet: What if the maps themselves collapse?
What follows is not a prophecy, but a hypothetical scenario built on existing data. It is an analysis of what might happen if international institutions dissolve, conflict erupts among concentrated wealth, and borders transform from walls into mere lines on paper. Superpowers do not want world wars, nuclear conflicts, or wars of extermination in their regions, nor do they want destructive economic wars. However, there is a single state in the world that possesses religious and intellectual chauvinism and systemic apartheid—relying on global sedition and discord. Crucially, it possesses massive global influence, distinguishing it from all other extremists and bigots worldwide, enabling it to alter the plans of superpowers through hidden machinations.
Chapter One: The Digital Divide — 20 vs. 600
In 2025, global wealth reached a record high of $600 trillion—its highest level in history. However, this growth far outpaced GDP growth due to asset price inflation rather than real savings.
Distribution: The richest 10% of the world’s population owns 75% of global wealth, while the poorest 50% holds merely 2%.
The Gap: Conversely, the combined wealth of all states and regimes is estimated at around $20 trillion—less than 3.5% of global private wealth.
This gap is not just a figure; it is the death certificate of sovereignty.
Chapter Two: The Fundamental Difference — Responsible Wealth vs. Free Wealth
Here lies the central enigma:
State Wealth: The wealth of states and regimes is accountable to the people. It is managed through budgets, institutions, and laws, and governments are held to account for it. Even when looted, the illusion of accountability remains.
Elite Wealth: The wealth of billionaires and financial elites is free, mobile, liquid, and independent. No responsibility, no accountability, no borders. It moves across the planet with the push of a button, hides in tax havens, converts into cryptocurrencies, and is inherited unnoticed. It functions like an under-the-table bribe—invisible and unaccountable, yet ruling the world.
The Great Paradox: While states are demanded to take responsibility for their people, the wealth of the rich moves with absolute freedom—blackmailing governments, dictating policies, and evading all obligations. When a state collapses, the rich remain. When a government goes bankrupt, the elite survives.
Chapter Three: The Dissolution of the UN — The Spark
Now, imagine the United Nations dissolving—not through a coup, but through financial and institutional collapse. The warning by Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski that the UN “might be dissolved like the League of Nations before it” is not far-fetched. A UN envoy in Kyiv similarly warned that the organization “no longer possesses the necessary effectiveness to achieve its goals.”
What happens when the international framework disappears?
Accountability vanishes: No International Criminal Court, no Security Council, no binding resolutions.
Aid vanishes: Refugees lose protection, hospitals lose medicines, and armies lose legitimacy.
Voids emerge: Legal, moral, and security vacuums open up—much like what happened in Gaza.
In these vacuums, a fierce clash erupts among the wealthy and financial elites. Why? Because they lose their shared playing field. Without the UN, no framework exists to arbitrate conflicts between global capital and national capitalism. Hidden contradictions explode:
Globalization vs. Sovereignty: A faction seeking a borderless world versus a faction demanding the return of borders.
Silicon Valley vs. Wall Street: A faction pursuing decentralization versus a faction demanding centralized control.
West vs. East: A battle over who controls the global financial system.
The result: An all-out economic war—this time without a referee.
Chapter Four: The Collapse of Borders — When Maps Die
In the absence of an international framework, the centralized state begins to fracture. Not a complete collapse, but a partial one. The name remains on the map, the flag still flies, and embassies remain open, but actual authority evaporates. The army stays in the barracks without moving; the police receive salaries without protecting; parliament convenes without legislating.
What fills the void?
Tribalism (Asabiyyah). Nationalisms, ethnic and religious groups, clans, and prominent families. These groups—possessing popular cohesion tied by blood, land, and shared destiny—become the true units of survival. Borders collapse entirely into mere lines on paper: no passports, no customs, no laws. People move freely, not out of free choice, but out of the freedom to flee. Armed groups move freely, not for travel, but for conquest.
The states that survive will not be the strong ones, but the cohesive national/ethnic groups: those with a strong popular base, resolute leadership, and an accessible arsenal of weapons.
Chapter Five: Nationalities — The New Survival Units
Who are these groups? They are the factions that possess three elements:
Popular Cohesion (Asabiyyah): Bonds of blood, land, history, and shared fate.
Strong Leadership: Leaders not elected by parliament, but imposed by the battlefield.
An Arsenal of Weapons: Not just rifles, but tanks, artillery, and rockets acquired from the central state barracks in their territories.
These groups do not ask for permission to arm themselves. They arm from collapsed state depots, black markets, and regional sponsors.
Global Examples:
Middle East:
Kurdish Peshmerga: A military force including over 611 officers and technicians trained in advanced artillery, tanks, and armor. They possess tanks and artillery—mostly Soviet models seized from the Iraqi army.
Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF): An Arab-Kurdish alliance controlling vast areas in northeastern Syria, equipped with heavy and medium weaponry.
Africa:
SPLA & Nuer White Army (South Sudan): Organized hierarchical military structures utilizing light infantry tactics backed by artillery and tanks. Ethnic militias like the Nuer “White Army” and Dinka “Mathiang Anyoor” have become formidable forces.
Zaghawa: An ethnic group spanning Sudan, Chad, and Niger with cross-border family ties, controlling lucrative gold mines in Sudan. Their military leaders—such as Minni Minawi—possess extensive combat experience.
Tuareg: Took control of northern Mali in 2012 after acquiring heavy weapons from collapsed Libyan army depots, operating T-80 tanks and armored vehicles.
Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF): Possesses heavy mechanized equipment (tanks, artillery, anti-aircraft weapons). Its leadership publicly refused disarmament in January 2025.
Oromo Liberation Army (OLA): Less armed than Tigray, but backed by a massive popular base among Ethiopia’s largest ethnic group.
Ambazonia (ADF – Cameroon): Finances AK-47 purchases through diaspora crowdfunding campaigns, utilizing transcontinental arms networks.
Biafra (IPOB/ESN – Nigeria): Maintains arms caches containing heavy machine guns, RPG-7s, AK-47s, and grenades.
Asia:
Pashtuns: Possess T-55 and T-62 tanks alongside captured U.S. armored vehicles from the collapsed Afghan army.
Kachin Independence Army (KIA – Myanmar): Primarily relies on light weapons, but has downed warplanes using heavy machine guns.
Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA – Pakistan): Equipped with advanced U.S. weaponry (M4, M16, PKM machine guns), at times outmatching local Pakistani army forces.
Chapter Six: Conflict of Nationalities — The Return of the Mongols
Now, imagine these groups in conflict—not over borders, but over existential survival; not on battlefields, but in cities, villages, and refugee camps.
In Africa: The conflict takes the form of complete extermination. Current events in Darfur—where the UN warned of a “predictable likelihood” of genocide against Zaghawa, Masalit, and Fur communities—are merely a prelude. Without the UN, this genocide spreads across Sudan, the Sahel, and Central Africa.
Across Other Continents: Scenes recall the invasions of the Mongols, Tatars, and Mamluks. The Battle of Ain Jalut (1260), which halted the Mongol advance, was an existential war between forces that did not negotiate:
A sweeping force that destroys everything ahead, making no distinction between civilian and combatant.
A resisting force trying to hold out, but crumbling under numbers and material.
A third force emerging from nowhere, exploiting chaos to build an empire on the ruins of the past.
The Difference: In the past, wars were decided by horses and swords. Today, they are decided by tanks, artillery, and drones. The outcome: faster destruction, greater casualties, and deeper suffering.
Chapter Seven: The Single Power — The End of History?
At the conclusion of this scenario, no real states remain; all states become vassals to a single power. No borders remain. No League of Nations remains. Only one power remains.
It does not necessarily have to be a state. It could be an alliance of ethnic factions, a network of financial elites, or a digital empire. But it will be the force controlling all continents.
How does it get there? Through:
Attrition: Letting factions fight until they collapse.
Alliance: Temporarily allying with the strongest before absorbing them.
Economic Control: Controlling resources, money, and food.
Legitimization: Presenting itself as a “savior” from chaos.
The Result: A world without maps, without nations, without peoples. A world without history.
Conclusion: Between Collapse and Liberation
This scenario is not inevitable. It is a possibility built on real data, but it poses an existential question: If borders collapse, what remains?
The human being remains. The individual who is saved by no tribalism, protected by no nationalism, and represented by no leader. The individual who fell off all maps and remained alone in a lawless world, despite all the ringing, glittering slogans.
Is this the future? The answer lies neither in Washington nor in Beijing. The answer lies in the capacity of peoples to build alternatives before everything collapses. However, this requires willpower, awareness, and organization—something the elite has never dared to grant to the people.
Source: https://mohammadabbaskawrani.com
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